As Hurricane Harvey continues to strengthen southeast of Texas, the impacts cannot be understated. (Click here to read a detailed list of impacts for portions of southeast Texas). Looking forward, there is some indication that once Hurricane Harvey moves over land it will stall and then track back over the warm Gulf waters moving northeast while strengthening into a hurricane again. This would lead to a landfall between the western Louisiana coast to eastern portions of the Texas coast. The European model is the most aggressive with Hurricane Harvey regaining strength before making a second landfall as shown in the above images which correspond to Saturday evening, Tuesday evening, and Wednesday evening, respectively (tropicaltidbits.com). There are even warmer waters in the Gulf of Mexico where Harvey is likely to progress which could support strengthening as shown by the model.
The last few model runs of the European model have shown similar results, with Harvey becoming a hurricane again as it barrels down into portions of the Gulf. It must be stressed that uncertainty exists with this solution, especially since other models do not show Harvey strengthening as rapidly. If a solution like this verifies, all the impacts that will be ongoing later this evening and into the day on Saturday across the southeast coast of Texas will also be possible from the eastern coast of Texas into Louisiana. Devastating flooding is looking more and more likely to impact these areas leading to a life-threatening situation.
Residents in the aforementioned areas should pay attention to this situation closely and be ready to take safety precautions as necessary.
To stay tuned for the latest on Hurricane Harvey, the impacts, and the future track, be sure to click here!
ⓒ 2017 Weather Forecaster Joseph DeLizio