Tropical Cyclones - Global Weather & Climate Center

Matthew – a significant threat to the U.S. East Coast… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

10/4/2016

This morning, while Matthew continues to pummel parts of the western Caribbean with high winds, high waves, heavy rainfall, mudslides and more, forecasters are becoming increasingly concerned about Matthew’s future. Matthew now poses a significant risk to much of the U.S. East Coast…To read the full story, click here - http://www.weatherworks.com/lifelong-learning-blog/?p=1021

© 2016 H. Michael Mogil

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Rick Schwartz

10/4/2016 02:59:14 pm

I believe that there's an excellent chance of a landfall along the upper South Carolina or lower North Carolina coast. Based on hurricane history for this time of year, Matthew is taking a traditional track towards the East Coast. If Matthew comes ashore in the specified location as a Category 3 or stronger, and accelerates to a speed greater than 25-30 mph, there's a good chance of tropical storm force sustained winds and sporadic hurricane force gusts along an extended inland route. This would occur primarily east of the track. Rainfall that might approach high single digits or low double digits might well occur to the west. This is based on many instances of similar tracks of late season major hurricane landfalls in the Carolinas.

Rick Schwartz, author of Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States

Tropical Cyclone Topics

Matthew – a significant threat to the U.S. East Coast… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

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