As hurricane season reaches peak activity based on climatology, Central America is in the cross-hairs yet again as tropical storm Harvey forms north of Venezuela in the Atlantic. Harvey is expected to track due west over the next few days before turning west-northwest and impacting portions of Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula into early next week shown in the image above from the National Hurricane Center. A preliminary forecast indicates heavy rains and tropical storm force winds are possible, especially along coastal sections of the aforementioned areas.
The National Hurricane Center is currently forecasting Harvey to remain a tropical storm until landfall. One thing to consider is the recent trends with tropical activity this season. For example, Hurricane Gert was not expected to reach category 2 status and Franklin strengthened rapidly to a category 1 hurricane before making landfall in eastern Mexico. Based on this trend, residents in Central America should watch this forecast closely over the next few days. As of Friday morning, August 18th, tropical storm Harvey looks healthy with deep convection around the core of the storm shown above in the visible and enhanced water vapor satellite imagery (credit WeatherTap). This hints at the fact that Harvey will begin to strengthen further, but to what extent?
As this situation continues to become more fine-tuned, be sure to follow GWCC to view the latest on tropical storm Harvey and other Central America weather news by clicking here!
©2017 Forecaster Joseph DeLizio