Typhoon Nockten Expected to Strengthen as it Approaches the eastern Philippines! (credit: CIMSS)12/23/2016  DISCUSSION: Over the next 24 to 48 hours Typhoon Nockten is expected to make its final approach towards the eastern Philippines. However, as this tropical cyclone continues heading on this westward track towards the eastern Philippines, there is high confidence in the expectation for this tropical cyclone to strengthen prior to its initial landfall in the far eastern Philippines later in the day on Christmas Day (i.e., local time which is GMT + 8 hours). As a consequence of this anticipated period of intensification (possibly rapid intensification), there are expected to be significant (and possibly severe) impacts particularly along coastal sections of the eastern/central Philippines. For this reason, if you have family, friends, or colleagues currently positioned across various parts of the eastern-to-central Philippines, it would be best to advise them to seek shelter at higher ground with sufficient infrastructural design. Due to the rate of forward motion coupled with the Category 3/4 equivalent wind speeds associated with the circulation of Nockten, there is high likelihood of a significant storm surge to impact many coastal areas along with strong onshore flow and heavy rainfall linked to the landfall of the outer and inner circulation sections of Typhoon Nockten.
To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across Asia, be sure to click here! ©2016 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz
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 DISCUSSION: As of earlier today, this was the scene over western sections of the Bay of Bengal as Cyclone Vardah continued to make its approach towards eastern India. It is projected to make a direct landfall towards the southern half of the Subcontinent within the next 30 hour or so. As it does so, there will be an increasingly larger threat for heavy rainfall (capable of producing flooding and flash flooding especially in areas which reside in valleys where rainfall will run-off and accumulate in) as well as strong/gusty winds. Although this tropical cyclone continues to remain on a consistent weakening trend, it is still expected to deliver quite a punch to the immediate coastline as well as points further inland due to the issues noted above. As you can see on the visible satellite image (attached above) which was captured at 13:30 UTC on December 10th, there was still reasonable "healthy" storm-relative outflow at the time. This indicated that storm; despite remaining on a weakening trend for the duration of its existence, was still fairly well-organized and its corresponding wind field is therefore expected to be fairly wide as far as the maximum wind speeds are concerned at the time of landfall. Those who have family or friends in the path of this incoming cyclone should make them aware and advise them to move away from the coastline if they are there and if it possible for them to do so!
To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across Asia, be sure to click here! ©2016 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz |
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