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Climate Topics

How Climate Change Could Impact Mason Bees (Credit: Climate Central and Science Daily)

9/30/2018

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 A recent study from Northwestern University and the Chicago Botanic Garden highlights the negative effects of warmer temperatures on the Osmia Ribifloris, or blueberry mason bee. This species of mason bee is a solitary species native to North America that is known for being particularly effective pollinators as they collect more pollen than they do nectar.  They differ from other mason bees in that they only pollinate a few species of flowers.  This study focused on a community of blueberry mason bees in the Santa Catalina Mountains of Arizona that feed off of and pollinate the Manzanita shrubs in this area.  The study area consisted of 90 mason bee nests, each housing 2 to 15 bees, which were divided into three groups.  The first group of nests was painted black to simulate a warmer environment similar to that of future climate predictions for the years 2040-2099.  The second group of nests was painted white to simulate a cooler environment similar to that of the year 1950.  The black paint results in a warmer environment since black absorbs heat while the white paint would result in a cooler environment since white reflects heat.  The third group was painted with transparent paint so as to act as the control group and represent current climate conditions.   The experiment was conducted twice in back-to-back seasons and the bees were subjected to these altered environments from their early larval stage all the way through adult diapause, or hibernation. 
 
Bees in the past and current climate environment groups woke up and emerged from their hibernation in early February, which is considered normal for this species.  The bees from the simulated predicted climate environment exhibited drastically different behaviors.  These bees experienced a higher mortality rate and the bees that did emerge were smaller with lower body fat, which correlates to lower energy stores.  Typically when bees emerge from diapause it is over the course of 10-15 days.  The bees from the warmer environment, however, emerged over the course of 50 days.  This has negative implications on the availability of floral resources as well as on the likelihood of the bees finding a mate. These negative effects of the warmer environment are a result of their bodies reacting to the stress of the harsher conditions and can impact the health and stability of the blueberry mason bee population.  The bees in this particular study area could move farther up the mountain to a cooler environment, but this would put them farther away from their primary food source, the Manzanita plant.  The absence of these bees would also have a negative effect on this plant’s population stability in this region since they depend on these bees for pollination.

To learn more about other interesting climate-related stories and topics from around the world, be sure to click here!

​©2018 Meteorologist Stephanie Edwards

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Taking a Look at the Fall 2018 Climate Outlook Credit: NOAA National Center for Environmental Information, NOAA Climate Prediction Center)

9/30/2018

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Discussion: The leaves are changing colors and the nights are getting shorter, just two of the many signs that fall has begun.  What kind of weather can we expect this fall? NOAA’s National Center for Environmental Information has released their fall outlook  (September 2018-November 2018) to give us a snapshot of what the contiguous United States can expect this season. Temperatures this fall across the majority of the United States are expected to be above normal seasonal temperatures. The northeast and southwestern regions have the highest chance for greater than average seasonal temperatures this fall.  The exception to this are parts of the southeastern United States, where there is an equal chance between having below, near, or above average regional temperatures.

In addition to temperatures this season, it is also important to take a look at what precipitation could be like across the United States.  Parts of the southeastern United States and the southwest have the highest chance of having above average precipitation. The Pacific Northwest region has a higher chance of being drier than seasonal averages this fall.  The rest of the United States is expected to fall within the equal chance category. This means that the climate signal for the rest of the country isn’t strong enough to determine if precipitation will be above or below normal.

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center has also been monitoring El Niño conditions because El Niño does have an impact on seasonal climate here in the United States. The strength of an El Niño and where it is expected to impact can vary.  According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, they have issued an El Niño watch. The model forecasts they use indicate a 50%-55% chance for El Niño to develop this fall and a 65-70% chance for development this winter. Forecasters will have to keep an eye on things this fall to see what develops.
For more information on fall outlooks in your specific region click here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/september-2018-regional-climate-impacts-and-outlooks

For more information on global and regional climate topics be sure to click here 

​©2018 Meteorologist Shannon Scully
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Looking Back at Climate Statistics From Summer 2018! (Credit: NOAA National Center for Environmental Information)

9/29/2018

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Discussion: As the nights get darker earlier and with  astronomical fall just beginning, NOAA’s National Center for Environmental Prediction has released their climate statistics for this past summer (June 2018-August 2018). Overall, the average summer temperature across the contiguous United States was 73.5°F.This temperature was 2.1°F higher than the normal average. The normal average minimum temperature was 60.9°F. The minimum temperatures created a new record, coming in 2.5°F above normal, since the records were first taken in 1895. The normal temperature trend held up in states across the Northeastern United States, the West Coast, and the South. According to NOAA, this summer came in as a tie with the summer of 1934 for the fourth warmest summer on record, since they began recording. Twenty-three states across the West, South, and Northeast all experienced above average temperatures. Utah and Rhode Island both experienced record warmth this past summer.

The average total of summertime precipitation this year was 8.95 inches, which was above average by 0.63 inches. Since the first recording in 1895, this past summer was the twenty-fifth wettest. From the Great Plains to the East Coast, many states experienced above average precipitation. States in parts of the plains and the Mid-Atlantic region saw significantly greater than average precipitation. The state of Pennsylvania in particular recorded 18.78 inches of precipitation. The opposite could be noted for parts of the Western and Southern United States. These regions experienced a summer of below average precipitation. The standout state in the West was Washington, which experienced its eleventh driest summer on record. Local parts of the southwestern region did receive precipitation from monsoonal moisture but the rest of the region stayed below average. 

To check out more climate statistics from this summer, be sure to click on the following link: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/september-2018-regional-climate-impacts-and-outlooks

For more information on global and regional climate topics and stories, be sure to click here!
​

©2018 Meteorologist Shannon Scully


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What Fall Warming Trend Does Your City Have? (Credit: Climate Central)

9/29/2018

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​September 21, 2018 was the official first day of astronomical fall. For meteorologists around the country, meteorological fall began on September 1st. Why is there a difference between the astronomical fall date and meteorological date? It’s actually more than just the fall start date. Each season’s start and end is different for both. For astronomy, the basis of the seasons is the natural rotation of the Earth around the sun. This sets up the astronomical calendar for which there are two solstices (summer and winter) and two equinoxes (vernal and autumnal). Each of these corresponds to the changing of the seasons for the astronomical calendar. For meteorology, a grouping system of three months based on the annual temperature cycle. Winter, we usually think as the coldest with summer being the hottest. Spring and fall are transition seasons for which the temperatures tend to shift to the next extreme.

Now that the differing seasonal dates have been explained, let’s talk about the recent trend in increasing temperatures for fall. Out of 244 cities analyzed, roughly 80 percent have warmed at least one degree Fahrenheit in the last half-century. This is compared to the one percent which have cooled one degree Fahrenheit or more. The last three fall seasons have been within the 10 warmest on record. With this increase in temperature, the beginning parts of fall have felt like an extension of summer, with the last characteristically hot day in most states coming later and later in the year.

Warmer falls will undoubtedly delay the peak fall foliage and cause leaves to drop more quickly, shortening the leave color change season. Also, insects will tend to linger around for a longer amount of time because the first freeze of the year will come later in the season. These are just two of the many impacts that a warmer fall can have on the United States. Make sure to check the link below to see the warming trend in your city. 

To see what trend your nearest city has, check this link to find out.

To learn more about other interesting stories related to global climate issues, be sure to click on the following link: www.globalweatherclimatecenter.com/climate

©2018 Weather Forecaster Alec Kownacki
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Climate Change may be the end of our National Parks (Credit: The Washington Post, The Guardian)

9/28/2018

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Courtesy: The Guardian
Climate change may be wreaking havoc on the country’s favorite national parks.

A new study led by several climate scientists from the University of Wisconsin and the University of California, Berkeley found that several hundred of the National Park Service’s parks will be affected in some form. The reviewed climate data between 1895 and 2010. It found that America’s national parks could see an annual average temperatures rise twice as fast as the rest of the country. Looking at the worst case scenario, the nation’s parks may see a 3 to 9 temperature rise, which would be devastating for many species of plants and animals. Another scenario assesses the potential rise in temperature at a 2 threshold, which would still affect over 50% of park land, compared to 22% of the rest of the country.

The reason the nation’s parks are more vulnerable to climate change has everything to do with their geography in mostly extreme weather climates. Many parks, such as Yellowstone National Park in Wyoming and Glacier National Park in Montana, are located in higher elevations, leaving less atmosphere to act as a buffer between the land and the weather happening above. Other parks are located in weather extremes, such as Denali National Park and Preserve in Alaska. Alaska has been coping with warmer temperatures that melt the winter snowpack and allow more sunlight to warm the land. Climate change has only amplified this process, with greenhouse gases reflecting the sun’s rays back to earth.

In the desert Southwest, rising temperatures and drought threaten to not only undermine national parks but the water sources that they provide. Less precipitation has resulted in even less snow cover in the winter. While Arizona and Utah tourism officials have begun lengthening the Grand Canyon North Rim’s tourism season due to a shorter winter, less snowfall could be of concern for the Colorado River and its subsequent watershed. Snowfall at the Canyon’s North Rim has decreased by 3 feet in the past decade.

The study was created with the intention of finding a way to adapt to and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, according to the lead author of the study Patrick Gonzalez. Some parks have already began adapting to the possible effects of climate change. Assateague Island National Park in Maryland has begun building structures higher and away from the shore. Acadia national Park in Maine has planted trees suitable for warmer climates. If parks learn to adapt to climate change, it should make coping with the effects a little easier.

For more on how the effects of climate change, click here!

©2018 Weather Forecaster Jacob Dolinger
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Heat waves continuing into September for the Northeast

9/3/2018

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Throughout the majority of this summer, the northeast corridor of the United States has been experiencing a warming trend, or in other words, a “heat wave”. Many places have been experiencing above average temperatures of over 20° F (-6.6° C), which when combined with high humidity has led to heat indices of 100° F (37.7° C). This means that the air temperatures feel much hotter and thicker than it actually is.

A heat wave occurs when a system of high atmospheric pressure moves into an area. In such a high-pressure system, air from upper levels of our atmosphere is pulled toward the ground, where it becomes compressed and increases in temperature. This high pressure makes it difficult for other weather systems to move into the area, which is why a heat wave can last for days or weeks. The longer the system stays in an area, the hotter the area becomes. Because the high-pressure system also prevents clouds from entering the region, sunlight can become punishing, heating up the system even more. The combination of all of these factors come together to create the exceptionally hot temperatures we call a heat wave.

As for the northeast, in areas such as Massachusetts - these areas are projected to experience more hot weather for the first week of September. This is unusual for the area, as the average high temperature for the city of Boston in September is the lower to middle 70’s. Meteorologists from the area, such as Danielle Niles of WBZ-TV are considering the month of August as the warmest ever on record, with an average high temperature of 76.9° F (24.9° C). As school has started in many areas in the state, there have been numerous school closings due to the stifling heat.

Heat is often considered to be the deadliest natural disaster in the United States, killing more people on average compared to other natural disasters such as lightning, tornadoes, earthquakes hurricanes and floods combined. High humidity and elevated nighttime temperatures are the key ingredients in causing heat-related illness. Heat stress occurs in humans when the body is unable to cool itself effectively. Normally, the body can cool itself through sweating but when humidity is high, sweat will not evaporate as quickly, potentially leading to heat stroke.

Heat waves should always be taken seriously no matter where you are located in the world. It’s important to remember that you should always stay hydrated, limit outdoor activities and potentially limit them to the early morning or evening when temperatures aren’t nearly as high, always check up your neighbors and the elderly and try to find activities that are indoors such as going to a shopping mall. It’s important to keep all of this in mind to prevent heat stroke from occurring. Heat stroke is the most serious form of heat injury and is considered a medical emergency. Heat stroke can kill or cause damage to the brain and other internal organs. Although heat stroke mainly affects people over age 50, it also takes a toll on healthy young athletes. This occurs from prolonged exposure to high temperatures, usually in combination with dehydration which leads to failure of the body’s temperature control system. Some of the symptoms include throbbing headache, dizziness and light headedness, lack of sweating despite the heat, red hot and dry skin, muscle weakness or cramps, nausea and vomiting, rapid heartbeat which may be either strong or weak, rapid shallow breathing, seizures and unconsciousness.

While the nature of a heat wave is frightening at first, it’s important to remember to stay hydrated, limit outdoor activities, stay inside with air conditioning if you can, checking up on others, as well as learn the signs of heat stroke and heat related illnesses. Heat waves will always be occurring throughout the summer months in many areas, and it’s something to stay diligent about and be educated on the matter.

© 2018 Weather Forecaster Michael Ames


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