DISCUSSION - California is still recovering from the consistent wallop of wet winter weather that has lingered with the state since winter commenced. Some positive outlook on the situation is the D4 Exceptional Drought index has completely diminished from 2016 to 2017. Southern California still seeing the majority of drought related issues, while Central/Northern California currently contending with the Oroville Dam overflow of the spillway.
Forecasters are beginning to sound like a broken record as later this week brings precipitation back into the area. The threat for precipitation comes into the forecast area Thursday as a front will move into the Northern Bay Area on Wednesday evening. With the onslaught of this frontal passage and more rain expected to move into the area Friday, this will be a prime opportunity for Southern California to gain some headway in the drought monitor.
A deep area of low pressure centered just south of Alaska will help to bring the frontal boundary into the area along with stronger winds as isobars tighten along coastal California. The front will tend to progress from Northern California and propagate East Southeast into Southern California. Central California/Bay Area can expect to see anywhere between .25-1" with as much as 1.5-2" in the hills. Today will remain dry and mild with clouds increasing in the area ahead of the front.
For more updates on California's drought situation or forecast discussions visit the Global Weather and Climate Center!
~Meteorologist Jessica Olsen