DISCUSSION: As of late tonight (10/17/2017), Tropical Storm Ophelia continues to remain at tropical storm status. Despite time now having taken us well into the month of October, we continue to watch tropical Atlantic basin remain active. It goes without saying that this time of year is past the climatological peak for tropical cyclone activity; though this far from unusual nonetheless since some of the more intense tropical cyclones on record have occurred during the months of October and November around the world. In the case of Tropical Storm Ophelia, it appears to likely be a harmless system (i.e., in terms of possible land-based impacts). However, within the next couple of days after gradually drifting to the south, there is high degree of consensus that Ophelia will be picked up by an upper level trough. As a result, what is expected to be Tropical Storm Ophelia (by that point in time) will more quickly move off in a predominantly northeasterly direction taking Ophelia towards western Europe. Hence, despite being a system on a weakening trend at that point in time, it will likely still bring heavy rainfall and strong, gusty winds to parts of western Europe (and in particular across the British Isles).
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©2017 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz