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Atlantic Ocean Weather & Climate Topics
and
​Caribbean Sea Weather & Climate Topics

Hurricane Matthew Already A Category 2 Storm! (credit: Meteorologist Geoff Cornish and NWS NHC)

9/30/2016

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DISCUSSION: As eloquently put just minutes ago by Meteorologist Geoff Cornish "Hurricane Matthew has rapidly strengthened, and now has maximum sustained winds of 100 mph (155 km/h). The storm is about 125 miles (205 km) north of Curacao. Westward movement is beginning to slow, and this weekend, we'll see a slow but sharp turn to the north. Computer model tracks suggest that Jamaica and eastern Cuba are in the line of fire early next week, with the Bahamas next in line. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao, as well as parts of the Colombia coast (from the Venezuela border to Riohacha). That is somewhat of a conservative measure, as the worst of this storm will indeed stay north of those locations."

To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across the Caribbean, be sure to click here!

©2017 
Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz

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Hurricane Matthew Is Now a Category 3 Storm! (credit: NWS National Hurricane Center)

9/30/2016

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DISCUSSION: As of the 2:00 PM EDT update from the National Hurricane Center office (located in Miami, Florida), there is more than enough evidence to support Hurricane Matthew now being upgraded to Major Hurricane status.  This upgraded intensity is in response to hurricane hunter reconnaissance aircraft finding much stronger maximum sustained wind speeds as the pressure quickly fell between late last night and earlier this morning.  More specifically, the pressure fell from 993 mb as of earlier yesterday morning to 960 mb this afternoon which is certainly a classic example of rapid intensification as far as tropical cyclones are concerned.  Hence, as Matthew begins to gradually start moving off to the northwest and then north, island nations including but limited to Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Bahamas will want to keep monitoring the status and forecast of this storm both through www.nhc.noaa.gov and right here at the Global Weather and Climate Center.

To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across the Caribbean, be sure to click here!

©2017 
Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz

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Hurricane Matthew Is Here! (credit: Meteorologist Adam Berg and the NWS National Hurricane Center)

9/29/2016

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DISCUSSION: As of the earlier 2:00 PM AST update from the National Hurricane Center (located in Miami, Florida), Tropical Storm Matthew was upgraded to Hurricane Matthew.  This is shown in the top graphic attached above which was discussed on-air earlier this afternoon by NBC 6 Meteorologist Adam Berg in Miami, Florida. This decision to upgrade Matthew from tropical storm to hurricane status was made in response to reports from hurricane hunter reconnaissance aircraft of them finding a small pocket of 75 mph maximum sustained winds as well as a minimum central pressure of 993 mb. Since that earlier update at 2:00 PM AST, the more recent 5:00 PM AST update has revealed that the intensity (i.e., the minimum central pressure associated with Matthew) is still holding at 993 mb. Moreover, the maximum sustained winds have also held steady at 75 mph.  

​In regards to the future track and strength of Hurricane Matthew, the current situation is definitely not a simple one by any means.  Over the next few days, Matthew is projected to continue heading west before gradually turning towards the northwest.  As Matthew eventually makes a complete 90° turn towards the north as it rides along the western edge of a large subtropical high parked over the western/central Atlantic Ocean, island nations such as Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba will all be in the crosshairs of Matthew.  Therefore, regardless of the exact track of this tropical cyclone moving forward in time, there are many people who will more than likely feel at least some impact(s) from  Matthew. Be sure to stay tuned to the Global Weather and Climate Center for further updates as the status and forecast for Matthew continues to evolve!

To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across the Caribbean, be sure to click here!

©2017 
Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz
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Tropical Storm Matthew Has Formed! (credit: CIMSS)

9/28/2016

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DISCUSSION: As of earlier this morning (Atlantic Standard Time), Tropical Storm Matthew was born from the recent and persistent Tropical Depression which had been holding strong for the past few days.  Currently, Matthew is a modest tropical storm with maximum sustained winds at approximately 60 MPH with higher gusts occasionally within some of the stronger innermost thunderstorm activity.  However, despite its modest intensity at the current time, Matthew is forecast to remain in a region which is particularly favorable for intensification.  Therefore, the NWS National Hurricane Center has issued forecasts calling for Matthew to become a hurricane within the next 36 to 48 hours or so.

If you or someone you know is vacationing or planning to travel to countries anywhere across the Central and/or Western Caribbean Sea in the coming days, it would be in their best interest to stay tuned right here at the Global Weather and Climate Center for the latest details on this developing situation!

​To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across the Caribbean, be sure to click here!

©2017 
Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz
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T.S. Karl Impacting Bermuda! (credit: CIMSS)

9/23/2016

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DISCUSSION: As Tropical Storm Karl regains a little bit of strength as it passes just to the east of Bermuda during the overnight hours tonight, there will continue to be a decent threat to parts of Bermuda.  In particular, there will be an increased threat for gusty winds which may take down some weaker structures and consequently power lines as well.  Therefore, if you or someone you know is currently living in or on vacation in Bermuda, it would be in their best interest to hunker down until this formidable tropical storm has passed well to the northeast of the Bermuda by later tomorrow afternoon.  However, in the wake of Tropical Storm Karl passing just to the east, there may some leftover return flow around the southern edge of the storm and consequently some persistent wave action, beach erosion, and gusty conditions at times making for potentially hazardous travel.  For more information on Tropical Storm Karl, be sure to stay tuned right here at GWCC for updates as well as at http://www.weather.bm/tropical.asp!

To learn more about other high-impact weather events which have or are occurring across the Atlantic Ocean, be sure to click here!

~Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz
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Upcoming Threats From The Tropics? (credit: NWS National Hurricane Center)

9/8/2016

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DISCUSSION: As a few areas of disturbed weather continue to push westward across the Tropical Atlantic Ocean, there will remain a threat for possible tropical development in the coming days.  In particular, the area of greater concern is associated with a tropical wave positioned roughly 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development of this system, if it does occur, will be slow over the next few days as a result of increased shear in place over the area through which the associated thunderstorm activity will be moving through. However, it is important to note that conditions may become a little more favorable for gradual development once the associated clustered thunderstorm activity moves into a region characterized by less shear coupled with warm ocean waters (i.e., sea-surface temperatures at or above roughly 27°C). Therefore, there still is a possibility that a tropical depression could form during the early part of next week as this system continues to move off to the westward and then eventually to the west-northwest (towards the Central Atlantic Ocean).  Those people who are currently situated across the Eastern and/or Central Caribbean should certainly keep up to speed with both National Hurricane Center and us here at the Global Weather and Climate Center for further updates on this evolving situation.  To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across the Atlantic Ocean, be sure to click here! 
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Hurricane Gaston At It's Finest! (credit: NWS Ocean Prediction Center)

9/1/2016

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DISCUSSION: As seen in the image below (courtesy of the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center's primary satellite feed from the HiRes Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT)), you can clearly denote the clearly spaced and clear cyclonic rotation associated with the associated atmospheric motion vectors (i.e., the small different-colored arrows emanating from the center of the circulation of what was formerly Major Hurricane Gaston).  Note how from the top of the storm and all the way down to the ocean's surface you can see a large, symmetrical, and absolutely cloud-free eye.  This was indicative of a very well-organized and tightly-wrapped tropical cyclone with a very strong and confined radius of maximum winds around the periphery of the center of this cyclone's eye!  An absolutely gorgeous sight to be had by all via many channels aboard multiple geostationary satellite imagers.  To learn more about high-impact weather events from across the Atlantic Ocean, be sure to click here!
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