 DISCUSSION: Although it is clear that Hurricane Gert will not be any immediate threat to land, it still will continue to make at least some weather headlines. This is due to the fact that even as Gert continues heading farther out to sea with time, it has still continued to remain fairly well organized as time has moved along. In addition to remaining well-organized, relatively warmer sea-surface temperatures have also allowed the core cyclonic vortex circulation of Gert to further intensify as a result of a consistently effective net energy transfer from the surface to the low/mid-levels of this tropical cyclone. Hence, even as Hurricane Gert travels farther and farther into the northwestern Atlantic Ocean, it will likely retain its present intensity which currently stands as a Category 2 Hurricane. However, as Gert continues traveling into higher latitudes, there will be increasing cooler sea-surface temperatures which will not allow Gert to strengthen further or even maintain its present intensity since there will no longer be sufficient latent heat energy exchange between the cooler ocean and the northward-moving tropical cyclone. Thus, we will soon begin to observe the gradual demise of Hurricane Gert within the next 48 to 72 hours.
To learn more about other high-impact weather events occurring across the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, be sure to click here! ©2017 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz
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Gulf of Mexico Sea-Surface Temperatures Add More Concern (credit: WFTV Meteorologist Irene Sans)8/6/2017  DISCUSSION: As a recently strengthened Tropical Storm Franklin continues to make its final approach towards the eastern Yucatan Peninsula located in far eastern Mexico, there still remain to be some concerns about what lies ahead with respect to the future intensity of Tropical Storm Franklin. As discussed in the brief video briefing above (courtesy of Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz), there are still some legitimate concerns for the possibility of a more intense center of circulation of Franklin (i.e., a more intense tropical cyclone than is currently being forecast) to impact eastern mainland Mexico within the next 48 to 60 hours from now. As discussed in more detail in the short video briefing attached above, this is predominantly due to the anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures in place as "perfectly placed fuel" for this tropical storm upon it re-emerging over the eastern Bay of Campeche later tomorrow night. To learn more about this evolving situation, be sure to watch the brief video discussion above!
To learn more about other high-impact weather events occurring across the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, be sure to click here! ©2017 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz Possible Tropical Cyclone Development in Western Caribbean (credit: NWS Ocean Prediction Center)8/6/2017 
DISCUSSION: Over the course of the next couple of days, there currently remains to be a very high likelihood of tropical cyclone development across part of the western Caribbean Sea. This is chiefly due to the persistent presence of an area of very disturbed weather positioned across the western Caribbean Sea in association with a fairly rapidly strengthening tropical wave which is currently on a track headed towards the Yucatan Peninsula at the present time. At this weak area of low pressure gradually tracks towards the Yucatan Peninsula, some minor vertical wind shear may mitigate this weak tropical low-pressure system's ability to strengthen over the next 24 to 30 hours before making its first likely landfall in the far eastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula. After making its first landfall, it will most likely emerge over the far eastern portion of the Bay of Campeche. It is at that point when it is currently projected to attain its peak intensity before making its second likely landfall in far eastern Mexico as a more potent tropical cyclone.
As shown in the brief satellite imagery clip shown above (courtesy of the National Weather Service Ocean Prediction Center, this tropical low-pressure system is in its earliest stages of development at the present time. It is for the reasons stated above that it will become increasingly important to stay tuned to our team at the Global Weather and Climate Center as well as at the website of the National Hurricane Center for more updates on this evolving situation! To learn more about other high-impact weather events occurring across the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, be sure to click here! ©2017 Meteorologist Jordan Rabinowitz |
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