DISCUSSION: As the tropics begin to quickly awake from their season-long slumber, things are beginning to really fire up quickly with a number of weak low-pressure systems across the tropical Atlantic showing signs of slow organization across the Western Gulf of Mexico, the Eastern Gulf of Mexico, and parts of the Central to Eastern Caribbean Sea as well. As has been noted repeatedly around social media over the last couple of days, we continue to have strong Tropical Storm Gaston in the East Central Atlantic Ocean as a strong tropical storm. However, based on the recently trending thoughts from forecasters at the National Hurricane Center (located in Miam, Florida), Gaston is expected to become a hurricane sometime during the day tomorrow and ultimately head off to the northeast towards parts of Western Europe.
Having said that, the primary attention is being put on the threat for a tropical cyclone to potentially organize further and strengthen in association with the aforementioned Invest 99L which is currently positioned over the far Eastern Bahamas. Though the environment is currently very unfavorable for further development of this tropical low due to the presence of high wind shear which tears developing thunderstorms near the center of the tropical low's circulation apart which are critical ingredients for tropical cyclone organization and intensification. However, this tropical low is forecast to move into a region which will be more favorable by the Monday/Tuesday timeframe which will be a point at which this tropical low will be monitored much more closely hour-by-hour. To learn more about other high-impact weather events from across North America, be sure to click here!